Table 3

Migration estimates performed with IMa2 and BayesAss for each tested population pair. IMa2: time since divergence (t 0), effective population sizes of ancestral and the two descendent populations (qANC, q1, q2), historical population migration rates (2N1m2→1, 2N2m1→2) between the first (1) and second (2) populations with the lower and upper boundaries of the 95% highest posterior density (HPD) interval is given in brackets. All parameters except population migration rates are scaled by mutation rate. BayesAss: contemporary migration evaluations (M2→1, M1→2) between the first (1) and second (2) populations occurring only in recent (1–3) generations given in the percentage of migrants.

  t 0 q ANC q 1 q 2 2N1m2→1 2N2m1→2 M2→1 [%]
(1–3 gen)
M1→2 [%]
(1–3 gen)
Kraljica-3 – Š. Žutica-2:
5 loci
1.30
(0.54–)†‡
46.36
(19.00–)
9.96
(4.92–18.20)
1.32
(0.52–3.00)
0.00
(0.00–1.78)§
0.00
(0.00–0.44)§
Kraljica-3 – Š. Žutica-2:
7 loci
0.68
(0.38–)†‡
38.12
(16.22–)
5.50
(2.82–10.28)
0.84
(0.34–1.74)
0.00
(0.00–0.36)§
0.00
(0.00–0.05)§
§ §
Kraljica-3 – Odra-1:
5 loci
0.58
(0.21–)
35.08
(19.64–)
8.60
(3.16–15.96)
1.88
(0.68–4.76)
0.54
(0.00–1.39)§
0.01
(0.00–2.95)§
Kraljica-3 – Odra-1:
7 loci
0.81
(0.21–9.17)
27.96
(13.96–)
4.76
(2.12–9.32)
1.56
(0.52–3.24)
1.07
(0.15–3.86)
0.10
(0.02–1.49)
§ §
Odra-1 – Š. Žutica-2:
5 loci
0.32
(0.16–)
11.88
(0.28–72.68)
2.20
(0.84–4.76)
1.16
(0.36–2.60)
0.26
(0.00–0.93)§
0.02
(0.00–0.36)§
§ §
Odra-1 – Š. Žutica-2:
7 loci
0.30
(0.13–)
5.72
(0.00–74.44)
1.48
(0.60–3.16)
0.92
(0.28–2.04)
0.34
(0.00–0.96)§
0.03
(0.00–0.36)§
§ §
Kraljica-3 – Gromiželj-4:
5 loci
? 29.48
(11.32–78.04)
7.00
(2.12–14.52)
24.20
(10.76–57.24)
1.04
(0.12–3.36)
0.05
(0.00–7.23)§
Kraljica-3 – Gromiželj-4:
7 loci
1.07
(0.77–)
18.73
(8.17–45.02)
4.92
(2.12–8.52)
19.00
(9.72–33.48)
0.77
(0.00–2.11)§
0.04
(0.00–3.86)§
11.28
(1.58 –20.64)
1.85
(0.00–5.34)§
Odra-1 – Gromiželj-4:
5 loci
1.20
(0.28–8.53)
4.92
(0.20–28.40)
1.00
(0.44–3.32)
49.72
(28.60–)
1.11
(0.20–2.30)
6.87
(0.07–19.26)
Odra-1 – Gromiželj-4:
7 loci
4.83
(3.09–)
? 0.76
(0.36–2.12)
26.29
(11.32–75.96)
0.41
(0.03–1.24)
10.05
(2.38–88.40)
§ §
Š. Žutica-2 – Gromiželj-4:
5 loci
2.58
(1.41–)
4.36
(0.12–50.36)
1.40
(0.52–2.92)
31.88
(18.20–76.76)
0.03
(0.00–0.41)§
1.40
(0.24–9.37)
Š. Žutica-2 – Gromiželj-4:
7 loci
5.38
(2.81–)
? 0.52
(0.20–1.48)
17.08
(8.44–70.60)
0.10
(0.00–0.32)§
4.78
(0.88–31.86)
§ §
B. Batar-5 – Kraljevac-6:
5 loci
? 16.12
(0.12–60.84)
17.24
(6.04–37.24)
14.92
(6.92–29.72)
0.00
(0.00–5.07)§
1.79
(0.98–6.31)
B. Batar-5 – Kraljevac-6:
7 loci
5.87
(0.95–)†¶
? 10.20
(5.32–19.24)
9.80
(5.40–18.52)
0.40
(0.00–3.14)§
1.60
(0.29–4.62)
5.49
(0.00–27.15)§
24.01
(1.99–33.21)
Kraljevac-6 – Lugomir-7:
5 loci
0.73
(0.52–)†‡
19.24
(0.20–64.44
21.96
(12.20–39.88)
1.40
(0.52–3.32)
0.61
(0.00–5.08 )§
0.65
(0.19–1.50)
Kraljevac-6 – Lugomir-7:
7 loci
0.58
(0.41–)†‡
19.32
(1.32–64.36)
13.48
(6.52–23.00)
0.92
(0.36–2.36)
0.00
(0.00–2.24 )§
0.37
(0.03–1.63)
§ §

Multiple peaks were present in some of the runs, only runs with a clear younger peak were used for final estimations with L mode; t 0 was estimated from the younger peak.

Upper boundary for population size could not be calculated as posterior density does not reach low levels.

§Gene-flow estimations were not significantly different from zero.

Multiple peaks were present in some of the runs, only runs carrying a clear older peak were used for final estimations with L mode; t 0 was estimated from the younger peak.

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