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Table 3
Comparison of predicted and observed distributions of Myriophyllum spicatum and Hydrilla verticillata during model building. Predicted values were obtained from the fitted probability of presence using the Youden index to apply a threshold probability: 0.536 for M. spicatum and 0.492 for H. verticillata.
Species | Contents | Predicted absence | Predicted presence | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|
M. spicatum | Observed absence | 91 | 23 | 114 |
Observed presence | 29 | 54 | 83 | |
Total | 120 | 77 | 197 | |
Correct prediction | (91 + 54)/197 = 0.74 | |||
Error of commission | 23/114 = 0.20 | |||
Error of omission | 29/83 = 0.35 | |||
AUC | 0.84 | |||
Kappa | 0.46 | |||
H. verticillata | Observed absence | 115 | 13 | 128 |
Observed presence | 37 | 32 | 69 | |
Total | 152 | 45 | 197 | |
Correct prediction | (115 + 32)/197 = 0.75 | |||
Error of commission | 13/128 = 0.10 | |||
Error of omission | 37/69 = 0.54 | |||
AUC | 0.79 | |||
Kappa | 0.39 |
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